California's Long Hot Summer—and Ours

To supply shortages on everything from silicon chips for cars and household appliances to food, including baby food, this summer promises an exceptionally miserable shortage—electricity in California, and other things elsewhere in the country. California energy officials warned that the state lacks sufficient capacity to meet electric demand if other extreme events—perfectly predictable ones by the way—like heatwaves, and wild fires, and drought –occur.

Days later the Wall Street Journal observed that “power-generating capacity is struggling to keep up with demand, a gap that could lead to rolling blackouts during heat waves and other peak periods as soon as this year.” It's easy to make fun of California for its absurdly unrealistic, aggressive "climate-change" energy policies, but these warnings are now spreading “from California to Texas to Indiana,” but I pick that state because it is the most absurd.

It’s not the variations in weather we should blame. It’s weather—we have always had variations due to La Nina, wildfires, and drought. It’s why energy producers have always built in excess capacity. It’s idiotic policies, not least of which is retiring power plants before they can be replaced by "renewables" or conventional energy. Of course, the most idiotic of all policies is the notion that depriving people of needed energy will make it possible to control the climate which in their fantasy world is heating up at an unprecedented and terrifying rate because of CO2 emissions.

I did that?

National economies are intricate webs of interrelationships in which monomaniacal planners lack the sophistication of natural supply/demand operations of millions of actors—us, the consumers. Take one small example: as the electrical-generating capacity in California increasingly fails to meet demand, California has encouraged the purchase of electrical vehicles, instead of gas or diesel-fueled vehicles, and has mandated electrical home ranges instead of gas. When predicable electricity shortages again occur this summer, millions of Californians will be unable to store food, or cook it, or drive to get some from somewhere. And they’ll be hard pressed to find water to drink, wash in, or grow food with because of similarly nonsensical water policies which are diminishing hydro electrical generation.

Reliability of supply of something as critical to health and welfare as electricity should never be dependent on intermittent sources like wind and solar. Maybe some day someone (Elon Musk, for example) will invent large batteries to store their output so it will be available when the wind doesn’t blow and the sun isn’t shining, but we aren’t there yet, and until we are we simply cannot replace conventional electrical generating power plants with them.

As for hydro, for years now La Nina’s hot winds have reduced available hydropower, not just in California, but in surrounding states on the Western grid as well, including parts of Montana, Nebraska, New Mexico, South Dakota, Texas, Wyoming and Mexico and all of Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Washington and the Canadian provinces of British Columbia and Alberta. If that grid goes down because of shortfalls in hydro power it could take days or weeks to restart it.

Lake Oroville, Calif.

Two of the largest reservoirs which supply hydro power to the state are at such low levels it will not take much for California to go dark. The water level in Lake Mead in Nevada is so low in fact, they are recovering bodies from what once were its depths. The man-made lake provides hydro electricity via  the Hoover Dam, and that electricity goes to Nevada and Arizona on a western grid connecting to California. Last year the warnings were made clear—doubtless it’s worse now.

Of course, California could fix things but its Coastal Commission will not allow desalination plants to be built along its very long coast, which would make more water available for hydro power production, nor will it store reserve water. It just empties that water into the sea, choosing instead to drain the reservoirs and in the process weakening their possible contribution to generating power. This year two of its largest reservoirs are already noticeably depleted before the heat of summer. Lake Oroville is another hydro site that California relies heavily on and it’s already low:

This week, Shasta Lake is only at 40 percent of its total capacity, the lowest it has ever been at the start of May since record-keeping began in 1977. Meanwhile, further south, Lake Oroville is at 55 percent of its capacity, which is 70 percent of where it should be around this time on average.... Last year, Oroville took a major hit after water levels plunged to just 24 percent of total capacity, forcing a crucial California hydroelectric power plant to shut down for the first time since it opened in 1967. The lake's water level sat well below boat ramps, and exposed intake pipes which usually sent water to power the dam.

California's Air Resource Board just passed a regulation banning gas-powered generators by 2028. If this survives legal challenge and becomes effective, it will be hardest on those in remote rural areas and make self-help when the grid goes down impossible. If you live in California, I strongly recommend you buy a generator now or spend the rest of your summers in the dark without food or air conditioning.

The best climate change for California would be a sharp shift in the political winds. But given the state's headlong plunge into self-destruction, that's not likely to happen any time soon.

Wanted: a Modern Martin Luther

When Martin Luther posted his 95 theses on the Castle Church door at Wittenberg in 1517, he was committing an act of resistance against the Deep State of the day. The Holy Roman Empire (“neither holy, nor Roman, nor an empire” snarked the atheist Voltaire, inaccurately), was broke and selling Get Out Of Jail Early cards, “indulgences,” which, for a fee, reduced the buyer's time in Purgatory.

Which is exactly what today’s Deep State is doing with their Green Energy Bull.

Call it the New World Order, the UniParty, the U.N., the Permanent Bipartisan Fusion Party, or the global political establishment, it is so morally and spiritually bankrupt that it's selling Green Agenda indulgences and convincing people conditioned by 50 years of the Democrats’ “believe[ing] truth over facts” to buy them.

The intent of the buyers and sellers is the same as in the sixteenth century: preservation of the ruling establishment.

The Deep State in Luther’s day was trying to hold on to the dogmas of the Roman Catholic Church rather than allowing the individual to read his Bible and reach God in his own way -- the foundation of northern European Protestantism.

Take that!

The Deep State today is trying to usurp global political power from independent, individual nation-states, and its pronouncements against that liberty created in large part by Luther’s Reformation. No one would have sailed -- or needed to sail, for religious reasons -- to Plymouth absent the Reformation.

Both States were and are using ignorance and lack of access to information to prop-up religious and political  establishments concerned only with self-preservation, and not with their charges: the Christian man or woman in the 16th Century, individual liberty under dispassionate law today.

The consequence of indulgences in Luther’s time was the Protestant Reformation.

The Reformation of the sixteenth century is, next to the introduction of Christianity, the greatest event in history. It marks the end of the Middle Ages and the beginning of modern times. Starting from religion, it gave, directly or indirectly, a mighty impulse to every forward movement, and made Protestantism the chief propelling force in the history of modern civilization.

The consequences of today’s indulgences are different.

Even if we assume all promises of those signing on to the Paris Agreement are fulfilled by 2030, and continue to fulfill them until the end of the century, and there is no ‘CO2 leakage’ to non-committed nations, the entirety of the Paris promises will reduce temperature rise by just 0.7 degree C (0.306 degrees F) by 2100.

How did today’s individual learn of the unholy, rising New World Order -- most recently articulated by George H.W. Bush? How did the individual come to be able to read his Bible, heretofore available only in Hebrew, Greek and Latin and accessible by the Church clergy? The printing press, mass literacy and vernacular access to the Bible, including Luther's own translation (from the original ancient Greek and Hebrew), which remains to this day the cornerstone of the modern German language language.

Luther was asking people to read, learn and decide; the Deep State is demanding people NOT read, NOT learn and NOT decide… just buy the indulgence. Let the forests burn. Turn out the lights. Close the factory.

Except it's all a lie. Massively increasing extraction industries – with the concomitant environmental damage -- is just one consequence of buying Green Indulgences:

… a rough conclusion is that getting all of our electricity from wind, solar and batteries would consume around 70% of all of the copper currently mined in the world, 337% of global nickel production, 3,053% of the world’s total cobalt production, 355% of the U.S.’s iron output, and 284% of U.S. steel production. Along with unfathomable quantities of concrete–which, by the way, off-gases CO2.

Destroying a nation’s economic outlook, strip-mining the planet, and bulldozing the suburbs for a corrupt faith lacking any factual proof or support is just not going to happen. The world is not going to return to pre-Reformation, pre-Science, pre-Liberty days in order to pay obeisance to the new self-anointed rulers.

Frederick III, Elector of Saxony – “Frederick the Wise” -- saved Luther for a while, protecting him from the Holy Roman Emperor (Charles V, of the house of Habsburg) and Pope Leo X by sheltering him in the Wartburg near Eisenach, and thus fostering the creation of the modern world. Without Frederick's temporal power, the Lutheran Church would likely not exist, nor would the entire chain reaction of Reformation and Counter-Reformation (in which the Roman church adopted long-needed reforms).

But where is our secular Luther today? If we are going to continue the modern world, today’s eco-indulgences must be stopped. We do have Trump, Brexit, and a growing Western understanding of the corruption of the Globalist State, and that the Green Indulgences are nothing more than tributes taxpayers pay to vice, to paraphrase La Rochefoucauld.

If we are going to reduce the corruption of the Deep State, if we are going to preserve liberty, if we are going to keep the lights on… the Green Indulgences must be rejected.

Because the Deep State is neither Holy, nor Western, nor (yet) an Empire. And must not be allowed to become so.